Introduction to Canadian Surface Temperatures

This is my first blogging attempt, so please bare with me as I try to explain the purpose of this blog — yet another damn blog on global warming.

I’ve been downloading all 1300+ stations of Canadian temperature records from Environment Canada, and databasing the records in order to analyze trends. That is, to confirm or refute AGW’s claim the planet is heating up.

I have long noted to anyone who will listen that the average of the mean temp anomalies we keep seeing of increasing temps can be obtained by not having hotter summers. In fact, one can get an increase in the average temp by several ways:

  1. Increase the summer maximum temperatures and increasing the winter minimum temperatures.
  2. Increase the summer maximum temperatures but no change in the winter minimum temperatures
  3. No increase the summer maximum temperatures but increase the winter minimum temperature
  4. Decrease the summer temperatures a little, but increase the winter minimum temperatures more.

All four can give the exact same average mean temperature. Thus detail of what is physically going on is lost using the average mean temperature. (We will soon see that #4 is what has actually happened.)

Here is an analogy. You set your home temperature to 23C all day with climate control. Throughout the year if you averaged all the daily temperatures you will get 23C. If however, you decide to save some money and during the winters you allow your nighttime temperature to drop to 10C. You have just pulled the average temperature for the year down to around 18C.

Thus, this “global warming” could just be a narrowing of the range in temps, and the surface station data will show exactly that.

I have already put on line two documents of the first analysis, more will follow here as opposed to posting them on Scribd.

http://www.scribd.com/doc/25338819/What-Does-Averge-Temperature-Actually-Mean

http://www.scribd.com/doc/25995131/Ontario-Surface-Temperature-Trends-no-Warming-happening

There will be separate blogs for each of these to get comments.

Also see these two Youtube videos.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2OjPJnEtfUE

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vLERf-O1CJw

———————————– NOTE —————————————

Now, I want this blog to be open for all sides. Science advances with healthy skepticism, or it’s just dogma. But I will NOT tolerate name calling, harassment, threats, or general abuse from any side, you comments will be simply not posted. So don’t bother.

I will also be posting blog of the source code (VB6) and SQL (Access) code I use to get the records as well as how the data was stored. So everything will be transparent.

———————————– DISCLAIMER —————————————

I do not work for any fossil fuel company.

I do not recieve any funds from any organization or any person to fight AGW.

I’m a retired Toronto Fire Fighter and 25 year professional software developer. One of my past clients back in the mid 1990’s was Sunoco where I was contracted to build their natural gas call center software. That project was the only 14 months I have “worked for” a fossil fuel company.

For 30 years I have also faught creationism. One of my efforts was published. See:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Polonium_halo

Wakefield, J. R. (1988), “The geology of ‘Gentry’s Tiny Mystery'”, Journal of Geological Education 36: 161–175, http://www.csun.edu/~vcgeo005/gentry/tiny.htm .

Wakefield, J. R., 1987-88, “Gentry’s Tiny Mystery – unsupported by geology,” Creation/Evolution, v. 22, p. 13–33.

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About J. Richard Wakefield

J. Richard Wakefield has published three fiction novels, Blinding White Flash, Blinding White Flash Invasion and The Barn. The sequel to The Barn, The Cunningham Arrests, is going to the publisher in 2015. He was a firefighter for 22 years in Toronto, and a professional computer programmer for 25 years. He lives with his wife, Dorothy, in Southwestern Ontario.
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