Australia’s great 2013-2014 extreme heat wave… NOT!

 

 

Melbourne2013

Top read line is the highest TMax ever reached for each day of the year.  Bottom blue line is the lowest TMax reached for each day.

Melbourne2014

 

2013 was nothing special.  Sure, 2014 was above the average, but certainly not extreme compared to other years.

Below are the record setting days in January for each year.  2014 has a few, but matches temps of previous, and very old, years.  For example, Jan 1 2014 was 43.9C.  But so too was 1860.

 

Year 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
1858 41.1 41.5
1859 37.8
1860 43.9 43.9
1862 44 40.5
1863 40.3
1867 40.3 42.4
1868 40.3 43.3 43.3
1869 42.4
1871 41.1
1873 37.8
1874 39
1875 43.5 43.3 43.3 41.5
1876 37.8 43.7
1879 41.1
1882 43.6 43.6
1883 40.4 40.5
1887 40.5
1896 39 40.5
1897 39 41.8 41.8
1898 40.3 41.5
1900 41.6 40.4 40.3
1901 39 43.1 43.1
1903 40.5
1905 40.3 40.5
1906 43.1 40.5 43.1
1908 41.1 37.8 40.4 44 42.8 44.2 43.4
1909 41.6 39 37.8
1910 41.1 39 37.8 42.4
1911 41.6 41.1 40.5
1912 43.9 41.1 37.8 40.5 42.8 43.9
1913 37.8 43.1 43.3 43.1 43.3
1914 41.1 37.8 40.4 40.5
1915 41.1 37.8 43.3 43.3 45.1
1916 37.8
1917 37.8 44.3
1918 41.1 39 40.4 40.3 42.4 42.8
1919 41.1 39 37.8 41.8 43.5 43.3 43.3 41.8 43.4
1920 41.1 37.8 42.4 40.5
1921 43.9 41.6 41.1 39 37.8 42.4 45.6 42.8 43.3 43.9 43.3 43.4
1922 41.1 37.8 43.1 40.3 42.8 41.8 43.1 41.8
1923 41.1 39 37.8 41.8 43.3 43.3 44.1 41.8
1924 37.8 40.3 42.8 43.3 43.3
1925 37.8 40.3 41.8 41.8
1926 37.8 40.4 44.2
1927 41.1 37.8 40.3
1929 41.1 37.8 40.4 42.4 43.3 43.3
1930 39 37.8 40.3 42.8 43.4
1931 41.1 39 37.8
1932 41.6 41.1 37.8 40.4 40.5
1933 41.1 39 37.8 45.6 42.8 41.8 41.8 43.4
1934 41.1 37.8 42.8
1935 41.1 37.8 42.8 41.8 43.3 43.3 41.8
1936 41.1 37.8
1937 40.4
1938 37.8
1939 44.9 41.1 43.1 44.7 45.6 43.1 41.5
1940 43.9 41.6 39 37.8 40.3 44.7 44.2 43.9
1941 37.8 40.4 40.3 43.6 41.8 43.6 41.8
1942 41.1 39 37.8 40.4 43.5
1943 41.1 37.8 40.4 40.3 43.6 42.8 43.6 43.3 43.3
1944 41.1 39 37.8 40.3 45.6 44 40.5 41.8 43.3 43.3 41.8
1945 43.9 41.6 39 37.8 40.4 43.1 40.3 41.8 43.9 43.1 41.8
1946 39 37.8 40.4 40.3 41.5
1947 41.6 41.1 39 37.8 40.3 40.5
1948 41.1 39 37.8 40.3 42.8 43.3 43.3
1949 37.8 40.3 40.5 41.8 41.8
1950 41.1 37.8 40.3 42.8
1951 41.1 39 37.8 40.3
1952 41.6 41.1 39 37.8 40.4 43.1 42.8 41.8 43.3 43.1 43.3 41.8 41.5
1953 37.8 40.3 45.6 42.8 43.3 43.3
1954 43.9 41.6 41.1 37.8 40.3 45.6 42.8 43.3 43.9 43.3
1955 41.1 37.8 40.4 42.8
1956 43.9 41.1 37.8 40.4 43.1 43.6 40.5 42.8 43.6 43.3 43.9 43.1 43.3 44.1 41.5 43.7
1957 41.1 37.8 40.3 42.8 41.8 43.3 43.3 41.8
1958 43.9 41.1 39 37.8 45.6 40.5 42.8 43.9
1959 43.9 41.1 37.8 42.8 41.8 43.3 43.9 43.3 41.8 41.5 43.4
1960 41.6 41.1 37.8 42.8
1961 41.1 39 37.8 43.6 45.6 42.8 43.6 43.5 43.3 43.3 44.3
1962 43.9 41.6 41.1 39 37.8 40.4 40.3 42.8 43.9
1963 43.9 41.6 41.1 39 37.8 40.4 42.8 41.8 43.9 41.8
1964 41.1 39 37.8 40.4 40.3 42.4
1965 41.6 41.1 39 37.8 40.3 42.4 41.8 41.8
1966 39 37.8 40.4 40.3 42.4 41.8 41.8
1967 41.6 41.1 39 37.8 40.4 44
1968 41.6 41.1 39 37.8 40.4 40.3 42.4 44 43.3 43.3 44.1 43.4 43.7
1969 43.9 41.1 39 37.8 40.4 43.1 40.3 44 40.5 41.8 43.9 43.1 41.8 43.4
1970 41.1 37.8 40.4 43.1 40.3 42.4 41.8 43.1 41.8
1971 41.6 41.1 39 37.8 40.4 40.3 42.8 41.8 43.3 43.3 41.8
1972 41.6 41.1 39 37.8 40.4 44 40.5 44.2 41.8 43.5 44.1 41.8
1973 39 37.8 40.4 40.3 40.5 43.4
1974 41.1 37.8 43.6 42.4 43.6
1975 43.9 41.6 39 37.8 40.4 40.3 42.4 40.5 41.8 43.9 41.8
1976 41.6 39 37.8 40.4 40.3 41.5
1977 41.6 39 37.8 40.4 43.1 40.3 40.5 42.8 43.5 43.3 43.1 43.3
1978 41.6 41.1 39 37.8 40.3 42.8 44.2 41.8 41.8 41.5
1979 39 37.8 40.4 40.3 43.6 41.8 43.6 41.8 41.5
1980 41.1 39 37.8 40.4 40.3 44.7 42.4 40.5 41.5
1981 39 37.8 40.3 43.6 41.8 43.6 43.5 41.8 41.5
1982 41.6 41.1 39 37.8 40.3 42.4 40.5 43.3 43.3 41.5
1983 41.1 39 37.8 40.4 40.5 41.8 41.8 41.5
1984 41.6 39 37.8 40.5 41.8 41.8 41.5 43.4 43.7
1985 41.1 39 37.8 40.4 40.5 43.5 41.5 43.4 45.1
1986 39 37.8 40.3 40.5 41.8 41.8 41.5
1987 41.6 39 37.8 40.4 40.3 40.5
1988 43.9 39 37.8 40.4 40.3 42.4 42.8 41.8 43.5 43.9 41.8 41.5
1989 39 37.8 40.4 44 40.5 43.3 43.3 41.5 43.4
1990 41.6 41.1 39 37.8 40.4 40.3 44.7 41.8 43.5 43.3 43.3 44.1 41.8 43.4
1991 41.6 39 37.8 40.4 40.3 44 40.5 41.8 41.8
1992 41.6 41.1 39 43.1 40.3 42.4 43.1
1993 41.1 39 37.8 40.4 44 40.5
1994 43.9 41.1 39 37.8 43.1 40.3 43.6 42.4 40.5 43.6 43.3 43.9 43.1 43.3 44.1 43.4
1995 39 37.8 40.4 40.3 44 40.5 41.5
1996 41.6 41.1 39 37.8 40.4 40.3 42.4 42.8 41.8 41.8 41.5
1997 44.9 41.6 41.1 39 37.8 40.4 43.1 40.3 43.6 42.4 42.8 41.8 43.6 43.5 43.1 41.8 41.5 44.3
1998 41.6 41.1 39 37.8 40.4 43.1 40.3 44.7 43.6 40.5 43.6 43.1
1999 41.1 39 37.8 40.4 40.3 40.5 41.5
2000 41.1 37.8 40.3 40.5
2001 41.6 39 37.8 40.4
2002 41.1 39 37.8 40.3 40.5
2003 41.6 39 37.8 40.4 40.3 42.4 40.5 42.8 41.8 44.1 41.8 41.5
2004 41.6 41.1 39 37.8 40.4 40.3 42.4 40.5 44.2 41.8 41.8
2005 41.6 41.1 39 37.8 40.4 43.1 40.3 40.5 42.8 41.8 43.1 41.8
2006 41.6 41.1 39 37.8 40.4 40.3 42.4 40.5 42.8 41.8 43.3 43.3 41.8
2007 43.9 41.6 41.1 39 37.8 40.4 42.4 40.5 43.9 41.5
2008 41.1 39 37.8 40.4 40.3 42.4 40.5 42.8 41.5 43.4
2009 41.1 39 37.8 40.4 40.3 42.4 44 40.5 41.5 43.4 44.3 45.1
2010 41.1 39 37.8 40.4 43.6 42.4 44 40.5 43.6 41.5
2013 41.1
2014 43.9 44.9 41.1 39 37.8 43.9

Number of days for each year above 35C.  No over all trend, except 2014 looks to be highly anomalous for number of hot days.

MelbourneDaysAbove35C

But things change dramatically for days above 40C:

MelbourneDaysAbove40C

2014 at the end is no different than other much older years, like 1898.

So the claim that Australia being the hottest EVER in 2014 is a complete myth.

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About J. Richard Wakefield

J. Richard Wakefield has published three fiction novels, Blinding White Flash, Blinding White Flash Invasion and The Barn. The sequel to The Barn, The Cunningham Arrests, is going to the publisher in 2015. He was a firefighter for 22 years in Toronto, and a professional computer programmer for 25 years. He lives with his wife, Dorothy, in Southwestern Ontario.
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